THE FORECASTING OF MONTHLY INFLATION IN YOGYAKARTA CITY USES AN EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING-STATE SPACE MODEL
نویسندگان
چکیده
Yogyakarta is known as a student city, tourist and also city of culture. an interesting cultural place with many beautiful attractions in the Yogyakarta. Public transportation varied, ranging from conventional online-based. Access to varies, namely trains, buses, planes. Thus, economic growth getting better, this can be seen activity which busier. A good economy usually always followed by stable inflation. This study aims predict inflation future period using Exponential Smoothing-State Space (ETS) model. Secondary monthly data was obtained BPS City. From research, Model / ETS (A, N, A) obtained, means that for does not contain trends, but contains additive seasonality has errors. The results indicate next three months relatively stable, namely, decline increase still below 10%. Keywords: City, Monthly Inflation Forecasting,
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2614-1280', '2622-4771']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29040/ijebar.v6i2.4853